Published on 16 Mar 2024

Analysis: As a Biden-Trump presidential rematch looms, who might China prefer as the winner and why?

NTU Expert Comment: CNA online, 16 March 2024

As the United States marches towards a repeat contest between President Joe Biden and predecessor Donald Trump, China is clear-eyed that regardless of who enters the Oval Office, America’s drive to contain Beijing is all but set to continue, say analysts. According to Dr Hoo Tiang Boon, associate professor at NTU’s School of Social Sciences, Trump effectively changed the trajectory and tenor of US-China relations into a very competitive one, that has essentially become a structural condition of the relationship. Still, Dr Hoo believes a second Biden presidency would offer some degree of “continuity and predictability” to China. 

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